Football betting thread

[bill_collins]

Key stats for new bettors:

• Home advantage overvalued
• Goals market most efficient
• Cards value in derbies
• Late season form crucial

 

[nat.fort]

Thanks for all info! Anyone using betting models or just watching games?

 

[morgan_c]

Models help but need eye test too. Stats don't show everything

 

[chapman]

just watch games mate, numbers can lie but eyes dont

 

[DagaW]

Combination best. Watch games, check stats, follow team news

 

[M.Bato]

Inside sources crucial for injuries and team drama. Public info always late.

 

[bill_collins]

Success factors by importance:

1. Bankroll management
2. Value identification
3. League knowledge
4. Information sources
5. Book selection

 

[Patrick777]

Best tip from years at betting shop - don't chase losses on late matches eh

 

[nat.fort]

Best tip from years at betting shop - don't chase losses on late matches eh

@Patrick777 guilty of that haha. Any other common mistakes to avoid?

 

[bill_collins]

Common costly mistakes:

• Betting too many games
• Following "hot tips"
• Ignoring team context
• Chasing after losses
• Blind faith in stats

 

[chapman]

them late night brazilian matches proper bankroll killers mate

 

[DagaW]

Simple rule - if you don't watch league regularly, don't bet it

 

[morgan_c]

Mraket shows 80% of recreational bettors bust on accumulator

 

[M.Bato]

Focus on what you know. Better to be expert in one league than average in five

 

[nat.fort]

Thanks everyone, lots to think about. Gonna start watching more lower leagues.

 

[vogafox]

Smart approach. Build knowledge before building bankroll