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  1. vogafox

    Crypto casinos: or, how I learned to stop googling and love verification deposits

    in ideal world yes but they claim platform immunity under Section 230 (US) and similar laws elsewhere and report mechanisms exist but enforcement is theatrical. same ads reappear under different accounts within days. which favor scammers as few bucks ad spend return hundred or more. even lowest...
  2. vogafox

    Crypto casinos: or, how I learned to stop googling and love verification deposits

    The streamer angle is critical here. All this fake testimonials on Tg, "runner" accounts posting withdrawal screenshots or affilaite programs paying for victim referrals. This isn't random scammers. It's industrialized fraud with sophisticated social engineering. Because there is no payment...
  3. vogafox

    Why did you switch from fiat casinos to crypto casinos?

    tax evasion is illegal and blockchain transactions are actually traceable despite popular belief so large withdrawals to exchanges trigger reporting in many jurisdictions. don't assume crypto provides tax anonymity pretty dumb way to get in teouble
  4. vogafox

    Why did you switch from fiat casinos to crypto casinos?

    simple math - lower house edge on many games, better bonus clearing rates, no payment processing fees so overal crypto casinos offer better expected value
  5. vogafox

    Which game providers do you avoid as hellhound?

    yes provider knowledge is essential for informed play so i'd say tier 1 providers ones with consistent quality will be: BTG, NetEnt (legacy games), Play'n GO little research before depositing wont hurt and provider reputation matters too...
  6. vogafox

    Which game providers do you avoid as hellhound?

    provider avoidance should be based on math analysis not emotional reactions to variance. that said, I avoid providers with consistently poor RTP transparency: - Providers who don't publish variance data - Games with undisclosed feature trigger rates - Providers with frequent "stealth" RTP...
  7. vogafox

    what christmas slots you guys playing this year?

    jumped on santa vs rudolf for like 50 spins and won 35x total across the sessoin. seems fine if you're just playing for fun but wouldn't grind it seriously. house edge is house edge regardless of the santa hat
  8. vogafox

    football weekend

    alright locking in for weekend: liverpool over 2.5 (2u) - defensive chaos both sides chelsea ML (1.5u) - everton are shaky psg over 3.5 total vs metz (1u) - metz gonna get demolished btts marseille monaco (1u) - both score for sure skipping arsenal at 1.11, not worth the stress. also...
  9. vogafox

    football weekend

    data supports it. brighton also conceded 3 to west ham and 2 to palace in recent weeks. defensive transitions are their weakness taking over 2.5 + btts parlay at combined 3.6 odds
  10. vogafox

    football weekend

    yep variance will kill you at those prices even when you're "right" liverpool 1.67 is better value. brighton defense has been leaky and salah's in form despite all the transfer noise. over 2.5 goals there at 1.91 looks decent too
  11. vogafox

    NBA cup OKC DESTRYOS SUNS (sat semi)

    Single game results don't determine fair value. Market efficiency incorporates larger sample size. That said, Thunder's 16-game streak with +15.3 net rating supports current pricing. Not overvalued for sure
  12. vogafox

    NBA cup OKC DESTRYOS SUNS (sat semi)

    Futures odds right now (via Pinnacle): Thunder: -250 Knicks: +380 Magic: +900 Spurs: +1100 Market's pricing Thunder at ~71% to win it all. That's extraordinary confidence. For context, opening futures were: Thunder: +450 Lakers: +600 Knicks: +550 Bucks: +650 Massive market correction...
  13. vogafox

    NBA cup OKC DESTRYOS SUNS (sat semi)

    @x@nter Regular season H2H matters less in tournament format. Intensity and preparation are different. That said, Knicks won those games 120-109 and 108-101. Both comfortable margins. I'm leaning Knicks but not confident enough for full unit.
  14. vogafox

    NBA cup OKC DESTRYOS SUNS (sat semi)

    @pokerslave55 Expected value doesn't support it. Thunder -10.5 at -110 requires 52.4% hit rate for breakeven. Actual probability based on closing line value: ~71%. while Spurs ML at +350 would need ~22% win probability. Actual probability: ~15%. Both are negative EV from sharp perspective, but...
  15. vogafox

    NBA cup OKC DESTRYOS SUNS (sat semi)

    Damn that wasn't a basketball game, that was a public execution. Suns couldn't generate anything after Grayson Allen ejection (frustrated flagrant on Dort in 2nd). But they were already down 20 when it happened. OKC's help defense was suffocating - every drive met with 2-3 bodies, forcing...
  16. vogafox

    Europe lost €80B to illegal sites in 2024 how much will be when 2025 ends?

    that's until casino invents terms violation to void winnings friend. i understand frustration but it's really bad decision
  17. vogafox

    Europe lost €80B to illegal sites in 2024 how much will be when 2025 ends?

    look there's couple issues with offshore that people ignore like no dispute resolution if site decides not to pay, sites can disappear overnight with your balance, zero recourse if you get scammed also self-exclusion tools seen it happen multiple times. guy wins $15k, site asks for "additional...
  18. vogafox

    Seeking best odds for football. considering bet365, pinnacle or maybe one of asian books

    @smiach pinnacle focuses on main markets (match result, totals, handicaps). they don't have as many props as bet365. so if you're prop bettor bet365 has more variety. if you're betting main markets pinnacle has better prices. tbh depends what you're betting
  19. vogafox

    Seeking best odds for football. considering bet365, pinnacle or maybe one of asian books

    @chapman pinnacle actually doesn't limit as aggressively as recreational books. they're known for accepting sharp action. that's their whole business model. bet365 will cut you after few winning weeks. pinnacle might reduce limits eventually but nowhere near as fast
  20. vogafox

    betmgm/drafkings/fanduel which one is better?? why

    BetMGM limited me faster than anywhere else. consistent profits few months then suddenly 10% promo max and bet limits cut DraftKings took longer to limit. FanDuel still letting me play normal. if youre winning they dont want your action - simple as that...
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