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anyways $700M revenue estimate for year one is probably optimistic. ontario reached around $600M CAD in year three. alberta has a smaller population (four million vs ontario's fourteen million) but a higher per-capita sports gambling rate and a larger proportion of the population currently using...

i think first nations concern is worth acknowledging even if it doesn't directly affect most forum users. alberta's community casinos operated by first nations bands have been the primary land-based gambling infrastructure in many parts of the province. expanded online access will draw some of...

senegal were +6600 before the tournament and then+260. at some point during this tournament someone is going to look at their original outright bet on a team like senegal and experience genuine life-changing math lol

why so surprized simpsons became phenomenon for a reason pal also is interesting because it illustrates something about how casual bettors engage with major international events. they bet on narratives and memes rather than expected value. books know this and price it accordingly. the portugal...

lets say data sharing point is the one reform that would actually make a structural difference and it's also the one most likely to get complicated by commercial and privacy considerations. leagues don't want books having granular performance data at scale. books don't want leagues having...

DeWine angle is worth watching because it's the first time a state executive has connected legal sports betting directly to an integrity outcome in their jurisdiction in a way that has actual policy consequences. he's not just commenting. ohio has an active legislative environment around sports...

unidentified fourth co-defendant is the part of this case that hasn't been discussed much publicly. eight months in and prosecutors still haven't named them or indicated they've been located. either they're in the dominican republic and outside extradition reach, or they're cooperating and being...

fishing game is interesting one actually. huge in indonesia and similar markets, relatively niche in european markets. we88 specifically built for southeast asian player preferences which is why it shows up so much in indonesian discussions. the game variety mismatch between western-designed...

worth noting what the government said their two targets are: effective site blocking technology and vpn regulation. they don't have vpn regulations yet. that's still in consultation. but the fact they're explicitly targeting vpns means the window of accessibility via vpn is finite. anyway not...

some banks do now actually. transaction monitoring flags, unusual spending pattern queries, requests to confirm the purpose of transfers. the infrastructure bleeds between sectors. gambling adopted it from banking and banking keeps expanding its own version independently.

no kyc marketing skips is what you give up in exchange for the privacy. no consumer protection. no complaints process. no regulatory oversight. if a licensed uk casino wrongly holds your withdrawal you have the ukgc, your operator's approved dispute resolution provider, a formal escalation path...

worth remembering Canelo was talking dismissively before the Crawford fight too. "zero chance" framing is almost always how upsets start. like a fighter with nothing to lose walking into a must-win situation for the other side is not nothing. don't think mbilli wins. but the certainty some...

version of this that bothers me most is that most recreational bettors don't know this system exists.they think they're participating in a fair market. they're the product. the people who understand value well enough to beat it are the ones who get removed.

there's actually a real argument in there. if books set universal max stakes per market rather then customer-specific ones, sharps and squares plya on identical terms. then you find out which books can survive running good lines rather than good customer profiling. my guess is most of them couldn't.

the thing that rarely gets acknowledged is that limiting sharp bettors makes the markets worse for everyone. informed money keeps lines accurate. remove it and recreational bettors bet into lazier pricing. the "protecting recreational bettors by removing sharps" framing is convenient fiction.

that might be the most honest thing said in one of these threads

and the flip side of that is interesting too. when someone wins big they rarely credit luck either. they credit themselves. "read the variance right", "knew it was about to pay", "had a system". same bias, opposite direction. casino never gets credit for the good outcome and always gets blame...

worth noting there's a version of this that's legitimate though. some casinos do set lower rtp on certain games. some platforms offer worse slot versions than others. the problem is the feeling of "something's wrong here" gets triggered by normal variance AND by actual manipulation, and most of...

that's one of the cleaner ways i've heard it described. not the current session's outcome mattering but the next one already being more real than the present one

the honest answer for most people who gamble regularly is that the "just for fun" framing serves a social purpose as much as a personal one. it's the acceptable explanation you give to family, to partners, to colleagues. it may have been true at the start. it gets repaeted long after it's...