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exact answer gov's model said wouldn't happen. the ukgc's channelisation target assumes players prefer the licensed market sufficiently that rtp compression won't drive migration. we're now watching in real time whether that assumption holds

that means picked netherlands trajectory. they ran this experiment first. tax up, regulation tightens, licensed operators compress product quality to maintain any margin, channelisation rate drops as players migrate offshore. dutch regulator measured it happening in real time and reported it. UK...

@bill_collins the 57% transaction decline sounds like a policy success until you look at where those transactions went. they didn't stop. they moved to methods that are harder to monitor - cryptocurrency, P2P transfers,underground agents. the government is claiming victory over a measurement...

yea fishing game thing is also relevant to the crackdown narrative. a huge chunk of indonesian gambling activity is via game types that look different from western casino gambling. skill-adjacent, social, culturally familiar formats. regulators and enforcement who don't understand the player...

vpn crackdown timeline matters. they've been drafting it since august. consultations with academics and tech experts. kemenko polkam leading the effort. the stated model is somewhere between china-style total ban and targeted blocking of vpn providers known to be used for gambling access. full...

and this is the direction things move. what gambling requires today finance expands tomorrow or already has. the behavioral profiling,sorce of wealth checks, session monitoring. these aren't gambling-specific developments. they're the model being applied across sectors and gambling just happened...

coming back to the germany point because its actually the clearest available example of what happens when regulation goes too far in one direction. the euro stake limit. mandatory spin delays. the oasis exclusion database. each individual measure has a stated harm reduction rationale...

dagaw's point is correct but there's a dimension that gets missed. every database you DON'T hand your documents to is a database that cant breach your data later. germany's gambling exclusion system, oasis, is essentially a government behavioural database covering a significant chunk of the...

and once they have your KYC documents none of that is going anywhere regardless of what the license says. id, bank statements, utility bills, sometimes more. at least UKGC falls under GDPR with actual enforcement. what's the data retention obligation for an Anjouan licensee. nobody really knows...

the question of which license is better misses what's actually worth asking. the license tells you less about whether they'll pay you and more about which set of laws your data sits under and what happens to that data. these sites have your identity documents, payment details, betting patterns...

because it's designed to be. make the experience unpleasant enough that casual players self-select out. reduces liability, reduces complaints volume. customer attrition framed as harm reduction. accidental policy success

yeah that's what they want you to think

this is the point though. it's not about helping you. every time you click continue playing on those popups you're confirming a behavioral datapoint. session length, time of day, deposit frequency, stake size, all going somewhere. and once that infrastructure exists for gambling it exists for...

i swear some of these droughts happen right after software updates or maintenance. had a casino i played at regularly for months with normal results. they did some "technical upgrade" one weekend and suddenly everything went ice cold for weeks. 500+ spin droughts became common when they used to...

governments shot themselves in foot with excessive regulation then surprised when people find alternatives. same way everywhere. ban or overregulate something and black market explodes. prohibition never works whether alcohol, drugs, or gambling

yup Merkur and Admiral arcades everywhere now. Every high street dead zone with bookies charity shops and these gambling places. Depressing state of uk towns.

Self exclusion failure rate is damning. 1 out of 14 actually enforced it seems sysstem completely broken. Nothing personal just profit huh?

next they'll want therapy records and DNA samples probably.

this government treats everyone like children who can't make their own decisions. online safety act monitoring what you say on social media and now financial surveillance on gambling deposits. digital ID cards they've been pushing all year saying it's for convenience all connected. they say it's...

listen Rodemanas ihad something similar happen few years back, won around £2400 and cashed out little first. instagot the vip upgrade email with 20% cashback offer. sounded amazing at the time so long story short I kept playing trying to maximize the cashback and nearly lost the whole lot. got...