Recent content by vogafox

  1. vogafox

    brazil pulled the plug. sites go dark on the 6th

    nothing stops her. what changes is that the offshore site has no brazilian licence, no local complaints route, and now no legal payment rail into it either. so she'd be funding it through crypto or a card that may or may not work, with no recourse at all. that's strictly worse than what she had...
  2. vogafox

    brazil pulled the plug. sites go dark on the 6th

    ok that's a good point and i'm not going to pretend it isn't my objection is narrower. the people who stop are the casual ones while people who route around it are the heavy ones, and the heavy ones were the harm you were trying to reach
  3. vogafox

    brazil pulled the plug. sites go dark on the 6th

    nobody in brazil is going to stop betting on thursday. they're going to stop betting legally on thursday that's not me being glib, it's the only prediction in this whole thread you can make with any confidence. sweden did it, norway does it, the states did it before 2018. demand doesn't...
  4. vogafox

    win 100k lose 100k and still owe the irs. committee voted to kill it but its still law

    get an actual accountant, not a forum. i mean that properly and not as a brush off there are choices about filing status and professional treatment that change this materially and none of us should be the one telling you which. if you're genuinely looking at owing on a losing year that's worth...
  5. vogafox

    win 100k lose 100k and still owe the irs. committee voted to kill it but its still law

    books file the W2Gs whether you report or not. the irs already has the winnings side. what you're describing isn't hiding income, it's declining to claim deductions against income they can already see. it's strictly worse than filing
  6. vogafox

    win 100k lose 100k and still owe the irs. committee voted to kill it but its still law

    it's my income so i'll declare the interest up front. for a professional this isn't a tax change, it's a change to whether the job exists. take a grinder turning over serious volume at a thin edge. the 10% disallowance can exceed the entire annual profit. you don't get taxed on your winnings...
  7. vogafox

    draftkings says all 50 states - then why i cant use it

    funniest part is kalshi caught it themselves, froze his account and reported him to the CFTC. which is genuinely the exchange doing surveillance properly, and it lands in the same week a court says they're not really an exchange at all
  8. vogafox

    draftkings says all 50 states - then why i cant use it

    well the part that actually matters for anyone here and nobody's mentioned - pricing is different exchange charges a fee and matches you against another user. a sportsbook prices in a margin and takes the other side itself. on a two way market that difference shows up as real basis points, which...
  9. vogafox

    Denmark caps bonuses at 1000 kroner and 10x. we get 450% and 40x. which of us is being looked after

    sometimes. and you find out which one it was at the withdrawal screen
  10. vogafox

    Denmark caps bonuses at 1000 kroner and 10x. we get 450% and 40x. which of us is being looked after

    and that's the thread in one line! 450% offer isn't generosity, it's a signal. it says the operator needs deposits badly enough to buy them at a price a stable business wouldn't pay. treat the size of an offer as a risk indicator rather than a benefit and you'll be right more often than you're...
  11. vogafox

    87 million recovered they say. mine isnt in there

    and there's the actual lesson, arriving 44 posts in from the bloke who started it 🦊 cross three sources, look for bad news surviving on the page, check the parent not the brand, treat anything under a year old as untested. that's it. there isn't a fifth thing
  12. vogafox

    asked for ID again on a withdrawal from an account ive had since 2021

    looking from the outside, the thing i'd point at is that both of these landed in the same three weeks and one of them is a lever for you and the other is friction against you, and the friction is the one everybody's actually experiencing @geordiecolin isn't angry about deposit limits. he's...
  13. vogafox

    cleared a 10x bonus properly and got £150 out of £612

    no cap, no weighting, and no eight week deadline either. the whole of @sufferinsilence's problem here is that he got £150 he wasn't happy with. on an unlicensed site the version of this story ends with £0 and a support ticket not saying don't. saying know which problem you're choosing
  14. vogafox

    cleared a 10x bonus properly and got £150 out of £612

    that's the MaxBet.rs case and it's real, but "a fella you know" is doing some heavy lifting there paul it did happen and the detail people should take from it is the one you mentioned second, not first. the terms didn't clearly define a maximum bet threshold at all. they applied a rule that...
  15. vogafox

    tabcorp buying betmakers, and in 2021 betmakers bid 4bn for tabcorp

    steady on he's not wrong that the incentives point one way. you're not wrong that they still have to show their working. both things are true and nobody has to lose
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