Recent content by pokerslave55

  1. pokerslave55

    kalshi doing more volume than the entire us sportsbook industry and the states cant do a thing about it

    want to say something and i know how it sounds. part of why im on there is that nobody stops me. no limit, no email asking if im ok, no deposit trigger, no seven day review. i can size whatever i want at three in the morning and theres nothing between me and the button. everyone in this thread...
  2. pokerslave55

    kalshi doing more volume than the entire us sportsbook industry and the states cant do a thing about it

    hold on. if the supreme court goes the other way what happens to money i have on there right now. does it just get voided. because ive got positions running into october and i need those fr
  3. pokerslave55

    obbba 90% gambling loss deduction cap is live in 2026 - anyone who actually files properly how bad is this actually hitting you

    so practicaly keep every single piece of documentation for 2026. session logs, withdrawal records, screenshots of win/loss statements from every book. because the 10% of losses you can't deduct at least needs to be clearly established or the IRS just sees gross winnings with no offsetting losses...
  4. pokerslave55

    obbba 90% gambling loss deduction cap is live in 2026 - anyone who actually files properly how bad is this actually hitting you

    yep @conker and that's exactly me. mortgage so i itemize. enough gambling volume that the deduction was always meaningful. been filing properly for years because i read that you have to and the downside of not doing it is worse. and now the 10% haircut on a break-even year is going to sting what...
  5. pokerslave55

    obbba 90% gambling loss deduction cap is live in 2026 - anyone who actually files properly how bad is this actually hitting you

    so its july which means we're six months into the 90% gambling loss deduction cap and i haven't seen much discussion about what it's actually doing to people filing taxes properly. so if anyone who missed it - the one big beautiful bill act signed july 4 last year included a provision that caps...
  6. pokerslave55

    world cup 2026 - germany out, netherlands out, who is actually stopping france now

    if i were you chapman as had england 78.8% possession and zero goals in that game. somehow i ended on england to score in the first half at +180 and phew 💸💸
  7. pokerslave55

    world cup 2026 - germany out, netherlands out, who is actually stopping france now

    checking colombia vs ghana now. colombia -310 to advance, ghana +230. if the market has colombia at +3300 to win the tournament but only -310 to beat ghana in the round of 32 there might be value in the round of 16 futures once we know the opponent anyway england vs congo DR ended 2-1 whod...
  8. pokerslave55

    world cup 2026 - germany out, netherlands out, who is actually stopping france now

    @x@nter thet spain cape verde game was when i knew this tournament was going to be chaotic. spain were at +450 opening favorites alongside france. drew 0-0 with cape verde and france immediately became solo favorites. spain are still very much alive and playing austria in the round of 32 on...
  9. pokerslave55

    world cup 2026 - germany out, netherlands out, who is actually stopping france now

    ok so I had germany winning the whole thing at +2000 before the tournament. laid it down in november when they looked genuinely terrifying in their warm-up games. then paraguay happened 😵‍💫 heeeeell paraguay ranked 41st. went through on pens after drawing 1-1 with germany in 120 minutes...
  10. pokerslave55

    clase/ortiz trial pushed to november - 8 months of dead prop markets and still no resolution

    yeah bettors always disappear from these stories. the players are the spectacle. the mechanics of how anyone converts inside information into cash without being caught are apparently not interesting once the headline name is attached
  11. pokerslave55

    clase/ortiz trial pushed to november - 8 months of dead prop markets and still no resolution

    i have been thinking about this for eight months and i still cannot get past the $6.4 million. clase's lawyer filed saying the delay imperils his ability to collect that money. which means the argument from his own legal team is that he mght never see it. which means even if he's acquitted he's...
  12. pokerslave55

    canelo vs mbilli sept - wbc handed him a soft comeback or is mbilli actually dangerous

    also what odds are people actually getting on him rn. anyone seen better than evens on mbilli anywhere. asking for my tenner
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