Recent content by morgan_c

  1. morgan_c

    Europe lost €80B to illegal sites in 2024 how much will be when 2025 ends?

    €20 billion lost tax revenue is catastrophic for public finances but instead going to unregulated operators in curacao or wherever problem is regulatory arbitrage. eu has 27 different gambling frameworks creating enforcement nightmare
  2. morgan_c

    Seeking best odds for football. considering bet365, pinnacle or maybe one of asian books

    asian books also have better liquidity on asian handicap markets if that's your thing. bet365 asian handicaps have wider margins than their standard markets. for serious football betting asian handicaps at sbobet will throw out bet365 any day
  3. morgan_c

    betmgm/drafkings/fanduel which one is better?? why

    dk and fd dominate us market share around 60% combined betmgm sits 12-15% lower market share often means more aggressive limiting to protect margins
  4. morgan_c

    How much do you tip dealers when you win big?

    reading all this makes me think both markets end up with similar total compensation but us model creates uncertainty and customer friction while uk model provides stability. so us system benefits casino operators by shifting wage costs onto customers
  5. morgan_c

    VIP cashback offer after big win, worth it or trap?

    vip upgrades after withdrawal show clear retention pattern in the data. automated crm trigger when player withdraws especially after first successful cashout. not personal just algorithm targeting profitable behavior. most players who accept these offers lose 70%+ of remaining balance accordingly
  6. morgan_c

    gambling grows in China

    interesting that mass market is driving growth now instead of high rollers. probably more sustainable long term since less dependent on small number of whales. baccarat dominance continues though - 52.3% market share projected. chinese players really love that game for whatever reason
  7. morgan_c

    How do you seek new crypto casino?

    guys from 27 casinos i tracked this year only 16 still processing withdrawals i mean sites that survive usually have proper game provider agreements and transparent ownership
  8. morgan_c

    isbrazil gambling launch a shitshow?

    Market launched jan 1st with massive hype but yeah its been rocky. Bet365 and Betsson got licenses but lots of operators struggling with the bureaucracy so main issues seem to be: - KYC requirements are mental complex - tax rates higher than expected - public pressure forcing more restrictions -...
  9. morgan_c

    Offshore sites pulling out of US

    market fragmentation creating new inefficiencies as liquidity pools separate professional players may benefit from arbitrage opportunities between regulated and offshore markets however access barriers increasing transaction costs and reducing overall profitability
  10. morgan_c

    Offshore sites pulling out of US

    must admit that regulatory pressure creating market fragmentation, us players forced into limited state-regulated options while international players maintain full access, this creates significant disadvantages for us-based professional bettors competing in global markets, arbitrage...
  11. morgan_c

    made £1200 this week with roulette by martingales

    look all statistical analysis shows martingale systems create illusion of profitability through small frequent wins offset by large infrequent losses, behavioral pattern suggests confirmation bias - attributing wins to skill while dismissing inherent risk factors recommend immediate cessation...
  12. morgan_c

    FBI investigation into sports betting and who to trust now?

    rozier declining to comment on advice of counsel indicates serious legal exposure investigation timeline suggests federal prosecutors building comprehensive case against entire network market implications significant - prop betting limitations likely expanding across all major books
  13. morgan_c

    FBI investigation into sports betting and who to trust now?

    market analysis shows coordinated manipulation targeting specific bet types porter case involved unders on player performance, well same thing with rozier props march 2023 investigation expanding to college basketball suggests systematic exploitation across multiple levels also sophisticated...
  14. morgan_c

    Whcih Platform in 2025? BitStarz vs Stake

    market data shows both platforms adapting to regulatory pressure. bitstarz implementing enhanced verification protocols, stake reducing promotional spend to maintain profitability withdrawal processing times correlating with account verification levels rather than advertised speeds. suggest...
  15. morgan_c

    trainwreck hit 9.6m???

    exactly. and people are getting hurt because they don't understand the difference
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