oh mate. worked on the white house teleprompter, could see trumps speeches before he gave them, and traded the markets on whether he'd say specific words got done for it. had to hand back 107 grand plus a 65k fine and a three year ban
worth knowing how concentrated this is. kalshis volume was just under 87% sports in 2025 and 72% so far this year, that's from paradigm who are one of their own backers
so when mansour says its a financial exchange and sports is incidental, the number says sports is the business. declining share...
liquidity is the whole problem on anything niche. tried to get set on a college game last month and there was nothing there at any price
fine for chiefs cowboys, useless for the stuff where you actually have an edge
Realistically the ESIC sanctions are just cleanup. they catch obvious ones and the scene gets a headline about integrity being protected. meanwhile the volume of tier 2 matches keeps growing and the monitoring never catches up. 14 sanctions in a month sounds like enforcement but its 14 out of...
good question. rough guide: tier 1 is the stuff with real prize pools and orgs you recognise. the majors, ESL pro league, big events with hundreds of thousands watching. tier 2 and below is small prize pools ($5k-$50k), teams you've never heard of, events with names like "roman imperium cup"...
this is actually a real point. throwing convincingly is harder than people think. you have to lose while looking like you're trying. so nomercy guys couldn't even do that, they just got stomped in a way that looked exactly like what it was. competent fixers lose 13-9, make it look like a real...
bill this is the part that bothers me. the books are the integrity system now. ESIC partners with stake, stake takes the bets, stake decides what's suspicious. when the same company profits from the volume and polices the volume youre trusting them to act against their own revenue
they voided...
naiyou one hit different cause that wasn't tier 2. that was the LPL, biggest league in the world, on a top org. TES caught it themselves and reported him which is the only reason it came out. march 2 they noticed the abnormal play, reported to the league, he got provisionally suspended then...
esports version of this has existed for years and nobody ever cared. players and staff know roster changes and stand-ins before they're public, markets are live anyway and the amounts were never big enough for anyone to bother. whats changed isn't the behaviour. its that the numbers got big...
anyway my position stands - faker for the goat title based on sustained dominance and global performance in the biggest esport. but flash belongs in the same sentence and i didn't take that seriously enough coming in. going to actually watch some footage.
zywoo as best active player right now is...
honest answer is probably not top 3 at his position this season. the goat case is sustained longevity and peak performance over 13 years, it doesn't require him to be the best player at 29. which is how it works in every sport. nobody asks if jordan was the best player in the nba in 2003 when...
s1mple had 3-4 years at that level. faker has been top 5 at his position for over a decade. peak vs sustained is a fundamentally different argument and greatness isn't measured by your best 3 years in isolation. like nobody evaluates jordan solely on the 92-93 season. the full body of work is...