Recent content by conker

theres a wrinkle in the swaps argument that hasnt come up and i think its the most interesting thing happening right now. soldier charged over the maduro trades - van dyke - his lawyers filed a letter earlier this month previewing a motion to dismiss. their argument is that the cftc has no...

probably yes to both, and applied across the licensed estate rather than just at betfred, because every compliance team in the country read that decision and asked whether their own review lag would survive the same assessment. the awkward part is that operators overcorrecting on automated...

technically it's not a fine at all it's a payment in lieu of a financial penalty as part of a settlement, plus they cover the cost of the investigation. that distinction matters more than it sounds. a settlement generally means the operator engaged early and put an action plan in place, and the...

evoke situation is the part that worries me most of this. william hill and 888 and mr green under one group, exploring a break-up or full sale because the 40% rate makes their debt-to-EBITDA ratio difficult to service. a major american company acquires a distressed UK gambling asset at a...

sure could do. the UKGC didn't publish a list. spribe was the visible one because the suspension immediately killed a game with 10 million+ UK users and was impossible to hide

i spot broader pattern that is worth noting. aviator's UK suspension happened because of a technical licensing gap from 2020. spribe held a software license but not the specific hosting license. that distinction - software vs hosting - is something the UKGC has been increasingly strict about...

american system and uk system have both arrived at roughly similar conclusions this year through completely different routes. US: tax the player directly on net winnings with a deduction cap. UK: nearly double the operator tax and let the market pass it through. both produce worse outcomes for...

i think worth being clear about who this hits and who it doesn't. you have to itemize deductions to claim gambling losses at all. standard deduction is $15,000 for single filers in 2026 after the OBBBA adjustments. anyone whose total itemizable deductions don't clear $15,000 was never deducting...

anyways $700M revenue estimate for year one is probably optimistic. ontario reached around $600M CAD in year three. alberta has a smaller population (four million vs ontario's fourteen million) but a higher per-capita sports gambling rate and a larger proportion of the population currently using...

i think first nations concern is worth acknowledging even if it doesn't directly affect most forum users. alberta's community casinos operated by first nations bands have been the primary land-based gambling infrastructure in many parts of the province. expanded online access will draw some of...

senegal were +6600 before the tournament and then+260. at some point during this tournament someone is going to look at their original outright bet on a team like senegal and experience genuine life-changing math lol

why so surprized simpsons became phenomenon for a reason pal also is interesting because it illustrates something about how casual bettors engage with major international events. they bet on narratives and memes rather than expected value. books know this and price it accordingly. the portugal...

lets say data sharing point is the one reform that would actually make a structural difference and it's also the one most likely to get complicated by commercial and privacy considerations. leagues don't want books having granular performance data at scale. books don't want leagues having...

DeWine angle is worth watching because it's the first time a state executive has connected legal sports betting directly to an integrity outcome in their jurisdiction in a way that has actual policy consequences. he's not just commenting. ohio has an active legislative environment around sports...

unidentified fourth co-defendant is the part of this case that hasn't been discussed much publicly. eight months in and prosecutors still haven't named them or indicated they've been located. either they're in the dominican republic and outside extradition reach, or they're cooperating and being...