Recent content by bill_collins

  1. bill_collins

    football weekend

    Actually makes sense. PSG have scored 32 goals in 15 matches this season - that's 2.13 goals per game average. Against bottom-half teams they average closer to 3 goals. Metz concede 2+ regularly. 4-0 or 5-1 scoreline hits over 3.5. PSG -2.5 needs 3-0 minimum with no Metz response. Over gives...
  2. bill_collins

    football weekend

    Rennes are 6th, Metz are bottom of the table huge quality gap. PSG +20 goal difference, Metz -19 but here's the thing - bottom teams park the bus against PSG. Metz will have 10 men behind the ball all match and sometimes PSG struggle to cover big spreads when teams play that defensive. Over 3.5...
  3. bill_collins

    football weekend

    Arsenal 1.11 looks tempting but think about it - you need to win 9 out of 10 just to break even long term. Wolves have conceded 37 goals in 13 matches which is mental, worst in the league Single bet at those odds is terrible value so only makes sense in an accumulator if you're building one
  4. bill_collins

    bank doin chargeback for offshore casino what are chances?

    Wait. You told the bank you authorised the transactions yourself, and they're still processing a chargeback? That's unusual. IGA makes it offence to PROVIDE services to Australians not USE them - you didn't break any law. But chargebacks are typically for unauthorised transactions or merchant...
  5. bill_collins

    Europe lost €80B to illegal sites in 2024 how much will be when 2025 ends?

    81 million Europeans engaged with illegal gambling services so in 2024 average annual spend on illegal platforms was like €1000 per person licensed operators averaged above €400 per customer so basically illegal operators generate €2.5 for every €1 earned by licensed operators. No possible...
  6. bill_collins

    Europe lost €80B to illegal sites in 2024 how much will be when 2025 ends?

    This represents structural regulatory failure rather than isolated issue so it will be even worse.
  7. bill_collins

    how strict is online casino regulatoin in your country?

    Good question @Avernite. Enforcement almost universally targets operators, not players. Still players face indirect consequences like ISP/DNS blocking (Norway, Australia, Italy, Spain), payment blocking by banks/processors, account closures for terms violations (VPN use, etc.), winnings...
  8. bill_collins

    how strict is online casino regulatoin in your country?

    In USA full online casino markets has 7 states: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Michigan, Connecticut, Delaware, West Virginia, Rhode Island Many other states have sports betting only around 30+ states allow sports betting but not iGaming. Each state handles licensing through their own gaming...
  9. bill_collins

    how strict is online casino regulatoin in your country?

    UK is also heavily regulated by UK Gambling Commission. Operators must hold UKGC licence to legally target UK customers while offshore licences like Malta or Curacao don't count unless you also have UK approval and UKGC has been aggressive with enforcement the past few years. They publish...
  10. bill_collins

    can't watch football anymore got to delete bet365

    Accumulator bets have some of the worst expected value in gambling and the bookies margin compounds with each leg you add. When 5 fold acca might look like good odds but the true odds are significantly worse than what you're getting paid. With that said good on you for recognizing the problem...
  11. bill_collins

    Seeking best odds for football. considering bet365, pinnacle or maybe one of asian books

    @x@nter lightly touched that topic. You see Pinnacle makes money through volume not margin. They offer low margins (2-3%) but accept huge bet sizes from sharp bettors. They use that sharp action to set accurate lines, then offer slightly worse prices to recreational bettors. As I see it: Bet365...
  12. bill_collins

    Seeking best odds for football. considering bet365, pinnacle or maybe one of asian books

    That's how math works. Of course if you bet casually it's not that much still if you're serious bettor it feels real. But anyway profit is profit...
  13. bill_collins

    Seeking best odds for football. considering bet365, pinnacle or maybe one of asian books

    The difference is in the bookmaker margin (overround) Bet365's margin: 5-7% on major football markets (exmple: Man City vs Arsenal might be 1.85 / 3.60 / 4.20) Pinnacle's margin: 2-3% on major football markets (same match might be 1.92 / 3.75 / 4.50) Asian books' margin: 2-4% depending on...
  14. bill_collins

    best neteller alternatives for UK casinos?

    Bet365 accepts both MuchBetter and ecoPayz for UK customers. You can verify this on their deposit page as they list all available payment methods by region. Worth noting that Bet365 also accepts PayPal which is another option that keeps gambling off your main bank statement, though PayPal's...
  15. bill_collins

    best neteller alternatives for UK casinos?

    Payment processor relationships change frequently. Betsson may have renegotiated terms with their payment providers. It's not uncommon for casinos to drop or add methods based on fees, regulatory requirements, or processing issues. For UK players, MuchBetter and ecoPayz are indeed the closest...
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